October 2016


The Midnight Sun Podcast (October 29) – Part 2

The Midnight Sun’s Casey Reynolds is joined by Taylor Bickford of Strategies 360 and Matt Larkin of Dittman Research. In part 2, we got through the legislative races one at a time to see where we think they stand with 10 days to go.



Cantwell Campaigns In Alaska For Hillary Clinton. Here Is What She Had To Say

Thursday night Washington U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell (D) popped into Anchorage for a quick visit. It was a low profile appearance for a Senator who could have a could have a huge impact on the future of our state. If Democrats retake control of the Senate, Cantwell would be positioned to replace Alaska’s Sen. Lisa Murkowski as Chairwoman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee giving her great sway over the resource issues that largely drive Alaska’s economy and unique lifestyle.




Which Alaskan Pollster’s Numbers Should You Trust?

How do the pollsters who publish most of the local data we see stack up? Which ones should we put the most stock in?

Luckily for us, 538 doesn’t just talk trash, they actually dig in and evaluate each one. We put together this sampling of their evaluations for pollsters we have seen operating in Alaska recently.



What Republican Attack Mailers On Joe Miller Tell Us

Evaluating these mailers to see what the party’s key messages are against Miller is interesting enough. It can reveal where they think Miller is vulnerable, what voters the ARP thinks they can peel away from him, and any number of other insights into their thinking us political junkies might find interesting.

Miller, however, gave us quite a gift on Monday. As part of his press conference attacking the ARP for alleged financial improprieties, Miller showed a series of mailers the ARP did in 2010 supporting him as the party’s nominated candidate and attacking then write-in candidate Lisa Murkowski.


Scoring The Attack: Joe Miller vs. The Republican Party

This is a rarity, normally when we score political attacks, one side is clearly the attacker and one side clearly the target. In this case, we have more of an exchange of fire as the Alaska Republican Party and Libertarian candidate for US Senate, Joe Miller traded similar “financial irregularity” charges against one another. Deciding who actually came out the winner might be more complicated to sort out.