More Alaskans support upholding Roe v. Wade than support Murkowski, poll finds

Sen. Lisa Murkowski speaks on the Senate floor during the debate on the GOP tax bill on Dec. 19, 2017.

Nearly two-thirds of Alaskans want to see Roe v. Wade upheld, according to a poll conducted in the wake of Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement but before President Donald Trump’s nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the high court.

The poll shows more Alaskans support upholding the ruling–63 percent–than have a very favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski–58 percent–who’s in the position of being a potential deciding vote on Trump’s pick.

The survey was conducted by Clarity Campaign Labs and commissioned by Planned Parenthood Action Fund, Planned Parenthood’s political advocacy arm, and surveyed 597 people on a mix of cell phones and landlines between July 3 and July 9 (the day of Kavanaugh’s announcement) with a self-reported margin of error of +/- 3.29 percent and a 95 percent confidence interval. The crosstabs were not made available.

Clarity Campaign Labs received a B- from FiveThirtyEight’s May 2018 pollster rankings with a slight bias in favor of Democrats.

With Trump previously pledging to appoint justices that would overturn the landmark abortion rights case, progressives mounted opposition to the appointment before the nominee was even announced. Groups have zeroed in on issues like Roe v. Wade because Murkowski is one of the few Republicans who openly supports abortion rights.

The Clarity Campaign Labs poll also surveyed Alaskans on the Affordable Care Act, which Murkowski voted to largely preserve last year (though she ultimately voted to repeal the individual mandate as part of GOP tax cuts).

U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan has already announced he plans to vote in favor of Kavanaugh’ appointment after meeting with the nominee.

On Murkowski

  • 21 percent view her very favorably and 37 percent view her somewhat favorably
  • 12 percent view her very unfavorably and 20 percent view her somewhat unfavorably
  • 10 percent were unsure
  • Murkowski gets a favorable review by 58 percent of women and 44 percent of men
  • 40 percent of Republicans have a favorable opinion
  • 38 percent of Democrats have a favorable opinion
  • 62 percent of independents are favorable to Murkowski
  • Among Donald Trump supporters, 55 percent are favorable to Murkowski
  • Among Trump opponents, Murkowski has a 75 percent favorable rating

On Roe v. Wade

  • 63 percent of all surveyed Alaskans supported upholding Roe v. Wade while 25 percent wanted to see it overturned
  • Of Alaskans with a favorable opinion of Murkowski, 67 percent said they wanted to see Roe v. Wade upheld
  • 32 percent of those surveyed said they would think less favorably of Murkowski if she voted for a nominee whose position on Roe v. Wade isn’t clear

On the Affordable Care Act

  • 54 percent of those surveyed wanted to see the Affordable Care Act defended on the Supreme Court while 35 percent said they wanted it to be overturned.
  • Among those with a favorable opinion of Murkowski, 68 percent said they wanted to see the health care law upheld while 38 percent wanted to see it overturned
  • 29 percent of those surveyed said they’d think less of Murkowski if she voted in favor of a nominee with an unclear position on the Affordable Care Act

Survey memo

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