Tom Begich shares his thought on the impact of the Trump video scandal on Alaska elections, the District 40 court case, patterns from local elections,
Murkowski’s race isn’t the interesting part of the data. That distinction goes to the presidential race in Alaska. Those numbers show that Democrat Hillary Clinton has closed to within 3% points of Republican Donald Trump in the Last Frontier. That is inside the poll’s 4% margin of error.
Exclusive new polling data in Alaska shows Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump with a lead over Hillary Clinton, Sen. Lisa Murkowski with a hefty lead over everyone, and Gov. Bill Walker and Rep. Don Young maintaining solid numbers in the face of voter malaise.
Most political prognosticators view Alaska as solidly in the Donald Trump column in the presidential election, but that isn’t stopping Trumpâ€™s campaign and that of Hillary Clinton from showing signs of life in the Last Frontier.
Hillary Clintonâ€™s polling surge is showing no signs of fading. She leads Donald Trump, on average, by about 7 percentage points in national polls, and is an 83-percent favorite to win on Nov. 8.
The latest FiveThirtyEight forecast shows the election still likely to be won by Hillary Clinton. The forecast shows Clinton would win 283 electoral votes compared to Hillary Trumpâ€™s 255.
If Silver is correct and Johnson does that well in Alaska, does that mean Alaskaâ€™s votes in the Electoral College — in recent memory have been as safe a bet for the Republican Party as any in the nation — could be in danger of going to Hillary Clinton?
Democrat Hillary Clinton has opened up a double-digit lead nationally over Republican Donald Trump, whose negatives remain unusually high for a presidential candidate amid early indications that the Orlando terrorist attack has had little direct impact on the 2016 race.
The Sanders campaign is using a little known party rule to bar 222 of their own supporters from being Alaska delegates to the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia later this summer.
These data, from an April 6-10 Gallup poll, come just three months before both parties’ nominating conventions and as the candidates clamor for the remaining delegates for their respective nomination contests.