Democrats account for nearly a quarter of votes already cast in Alaska

The Midtown Mall polling location was packed on Monday, Oct. 19, 2020, which marked the first day of early in-person voting for Alaska's general election. (Photo by Matt Buxton/TMS)

Democrats’ numbers advantage in early and absentee voting evaporated over the weekend as Republicans showed up to the polls.

According to numbers analyzed by The Midnight Sun, Republicans now hold the numbers advantage over Democrats in terms of votes already cast—including an advantage in votes that will be counted on election night—but the Democratic voters still account for an outsized portion of total votes.

As of Sunday, 152,585 Alaskans have cast their ballots. By our analysis of early voting and absentee voting rolls, that breaks down to 39,890 Republicans, 34,693 Democrats, 71,766 independent voters (either undeclared or nonpartisan voters) and a little more than 6,000 voters belonging to other parties.

Democrats make up just 13.5% of all registered voters in Alaska but 22.7% of all ballots already cast. Republicans account for 24.4% of the electorate and 26.1% of the votes already cast. Meanwhile independent voters account for 57.2% of the electorate but just 47% of the votes already cast, and third-party voters make up 8.2% of the electorate but just 4.1% of the total vote.

So far, turnout is 47.4% the total turnout from the 2016 election when 321,271 votes were cast.

This vote count breaks down into two categories: Early in-person voting and absentee voting.

Early in-person voting is only available at 11 polling locations and votes cast through Oct. 29 will be counted on election day. The remaining early in-person votes won’t be counted until a week after election day along with the remaining absentee votes, which include by-mail voting and the more widely available early in-person absentee voting.

According to our numbers, 37,995 ballots were cast in time to be counted on election night. The partisan breakdown of those votes is 10,588 Republicans, 6,962 Democrats, 19,104 independents and 1,341 voters from third parties.

That leaves 114,608 combined absentee and early in-person votes that we’ll have to wait a week to see. The partisan breakdown of these votes is 29,302 Republicans, 27,731 Democrats, 52,662 independents and 4,913 voters belonging to third parties.

Votes that will be counted on election night

DistrictTotal VotesRDUNAOther
Statewide37,99510,5886,96212,4476,657880461
19681952453341503014
263818011722497164
3766283792741001416
41,7803224465873693917
51,3783063104972302411
64001065914872132
72,2659651587253375525
81,5826681145002432829
91,148467913911672111
101,3945861044611923120
112,4699482437624414926
121,5816851354552513520
1328786471033984
14438151691268183
15482114122161631210
168772042422591471510
179691802792961602925
181,2342223204092283520
195477216818410599
201,381200438414281408
211,3582713214472723413
221,0742922103511862312
239352391623171752814
241,3543912174592423510
251,1692842474031822924
261,3264491884252163711
271,1002912463361833212
281,5855002624693072522
293710710730
3011405101
3126668330
32251066201
332,0782376287294254118
342,9425995841,0256386432
3524359511
365103100
373612315510
387113200
39304448111349116
4015424320

Votes that won’t be counted on election night

DistrictTotal VotesRDUNAOther
Statewide114,60829,30227,73133,76618,8963,5931,320
12,0484925885703136223
21,6255113744522114730
31,8657252865182406828
43,1296168611,0135297436
52,4144606968093695525
62,5288764767093666833
72,3238643626453457829
82,1848842735993039431
92,7239884018143958441
103,1891,09547490653613246
112,6539444197904036928
123,1951,1724869275007832
133,3531,1965919075248946
144,7161,6628781,22877113344
152,1035725136093016840
163,13262291393750611242
172,7604938568114768242
183,1754861,00697856910630
191,9102466656272935128
203,1394461,11186358010336
213,6496171,1231,11063212938
223,6067968611,17760313633
232,5185116967584319032
243,9241,0369221,14966011839
253,3156488671,13952910131
263,6839978581,10956413124
273,5587571,0321,02159112136
285,1791,3331,2031,50195113754
293,2341,1565658815039138
303,2191,2384558645339633
314,1179761,0031,18876314641
322,3976605417223727032
334,0794211,5671,11781810848
343,6996581,0551,11471213228
354,2698811,1631,26778513340
362,8007225938624909142
379492382293091313111
38742892802281003015
394647813315581143
405339318516858236

More from TMS

Be the first to comment on "Democrats account for nearly a quarter of votes already cast in Alaska"

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published.


*