538

538 and Cook List Alaska Among Competitive Congressional Races

As the 2016 election approaches its end, Republican control of the House isn’t in much doubt, but the final makeup of the chamber remains a mystery. The GOP holds a 247-to-188 seat majority, and our outlook at the Cook Political Report (where I’m House editor) is a Democratic gain of between five and 20 seats. That’s not enough to flip control, but the final seat count matters: It could affect the viability of the next president’s agenda and even Speaker Paul Ryan’s job security.


Which Alaskan Pollster’s Numbers Should You Trust?

How do the pollsters who publish most of the local data we see stack up? Which ones should we put the most stock in?

Luckily for us, 538 doesn’t just talk trash, they actually dig in and evaluate each one. We put together this sampling of their evaluations for pollsters we have seen operating in Alaska recently.