luke hopkins



Can Bipartisans Take The State Senate? Updated Race Projections

In June, we looked at how Democrats could wrest power from Republicans in the State Senate, or at least create a bipartisan coalition.

The short version of that story is that, yes, there is a potential path for Democrats to have a role in senate leadership. It requires them winning at least two seats currently held by Republicans and getting at least three more to jump ship and organize with them, let’s not pretend it is the most likely of scenarios. But it is plausible.




Obsess With Us On Way-Too-Early Absentee Return Numbers In Alaska

A fair warning, we are about to examine some really, really early absentee ballot return numbers in Alaska. Political analysts on both sides of the aisle have warned us about taking too much from them and so we pass that caution on to you. However, if you are like us, you just need to know what those numbers say anyway, right?